The 2024 presidential election has dominated the news cycle this year and not only are a majority of voters hopeful about the outcome, but they are also increasingly hopeful for the country's future . And even though half of them say it was a bad year, the number of people saying it was good is the highest since 2020 (the end of the first year of the pandemic).
When it comes to the future of the country, 55% of respondents are extremely or very optimistic about the future. This represents an increase of 2 points since 2022. Between 2021 and 2022, optimism about the future of the country increased by 10 points. The question was not asked in 2023.
In total, 45% have little or no hope at all.
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The current numbers are driven by partisan divides: an overwhelming majority of Republicans are hopeful for the country's future (86%), while majorities of Democrats (72%) and Independents (54%) do not. are not.
In 2021, the situation has reversed among partisans, albeit to a lesser extent, as 6 in 10 Democrats say they are hopeful, while 7 in 10 Republicans and 6 in 10 independents say they are not.
“Since the 1990s, attitudes toward the future have been strongly correlated with partisanship,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the Fox News poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. “Even so, there is more general optimism this year than we have seen in a while, as the fear and resentment of recent years appears to be easing.”
Looking to 2024, 4 in 10 (40%) say it was a good year for their family, while half (50%) say it was a bad year for a net rating of -10. That's an improvement from -14 last year (39% good, 53% bad) and significantly better than in 2020, when it was underwater by 44 points (23% good, 67 % bad). From 2012 to 2019, more voters felt positive than negative about their year.
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By a 36-point margin, voters say 2024 was a bad year for America as a whole (28% good vs. 64% bad), but that's better than the 65-point net negative rating 2020 (13% good, 78% bad). Since 2018, when the question was first asked, opinions on the country's end-of-year balance sheet have been in deficit.
Democrats (50% family, 42% country) are more likely than Republicans (34%, 19%) and independents (33%, 21%) to think 2024 was a good year for them and for the country.
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Another hopeful note…
Half of voters say “hopeful” to describe how they feel about the 2024 presidential results (54%) – the highest among all other feelings, including relief (50%), surprise (50%), enthusiasm (48%) and fear (46%). %), depressed (40%) and angry (39%).
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Conducted December 6-9, 2024 under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News investigation includes interviews with a sample of 1,015 registered voters randomly selected from a national voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (125) and cell phones (699) or completed the survey online after receiving a text message (191). Results based on the full sample of registered voters have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. Sampling error associated with results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, the wording and order of questions can influence the results. Weights are typically applied to the age, race, education, and region variables to ensure that respondent demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing target weights include the American Community Survey, Fox News voter analysis and voter file data.
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