Shock poll shows Harris leading Trump in Iowa with 3-point shift to VP

Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by three points in the latest Des Moines Register-sponsored poll in Iowa, three days before the election.

The shock poll showed a seven-point gap from Trump to Harris compared to September, when he had a four-point lead over the vice president (47% to 43%) in the same poll.

“It’s hard for anyone to say they saw this coming,” pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the poll, told the newspaper Saturday. “She has clearly moved into a leadership position.”

The poll was conducted between October 28 and 31 and Harris' lead is within the margin of error of 3.4%.

However, the poll appears to be an exception. Another Emerson College poll released Saturday gives Trump a 10-point lead (53% to 43%), and he maintains a decent lead in other polls.

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Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by three points in the latest Des Moines Register-sponsored poll in Iowa, three days before the election. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin; Brandon Bell/Getty Images)

The Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll, which measures support in the Hawkeye State, is nationally recognized and its final results mirror the results of the 2016 and 2020 elections, according to the Des Moines Register.

The 2016 poll gave Trump a seven-point lead over Hillary Clinton, and the 2020 poll gave him the same lead over President Biden.

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Trump supporter's Halloween display in Iowa. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

Iowa, which is not considered a swing state, is geographically close to the Rust Belt swing states of Pennsylvania and Michigan, and shares a border with Wisconsin.

The same poll taken in June showed Trump with a commanding 18-point lead over Biden before dropping out of the race in July following a shaky debate.

The Nov. 2 poll shows Harris increasing her support among women in a race with a historic gender gap, as the vice president has put the issue of abortion at the forefront of her campaign, according to the newspaper.

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The remaining 9% of respondents said they would vote for another candidate, were unsure who they would vote for, or did not intend to vote. Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., who withdrew from the race as an independent candidate and supported Trump, received 3% in the poll.