Dribble Handoff: Preseason college basketball predictions off to a bad start in 2022-23 season

We’re lower than a month into school basketball season, however actuality is already beginning to deviate from what we anticipated in lots of instances. You may crunch numbers, break down rosters and analyze coach interviews for months however have all that perception modified instantly as soon as the ball is tipped in November.

Because the saying goes, “ball do not lie,” and the ball has been telling some attention-grabbing tales early this season. Arizona seems to be unbelievable regardless of dropping three NBA Draft picks, North Carolina seems to be susceptible regardless of returning 4 of 5 starters from a workforce that reached the nationwide title recreation. Kentucky is off to a sluggish begin, and so is Villanova. In the meantime, Virginia has burst onto the scene following an NIT look final season to seem like an ACC and nationwide title contender. Within the Massive 12, are we positive Texas will not be a risk to Baylor and Kansas atop the convention?

The pattern dimension is small, nevertheless it’s increasing by the day, and we’re prepared for just a few mulligans. For months main as much as the season, we wrote on this web site and talked on the Eye on Faculty Basketball podcast — and different platforms — about our predictions for what would occur this season. Now, for this week’s version of the Dribble Handoff, we’re every taking the possibility to stroll again a kind of predictions based mostly off what we have seen thus far.

Louisville ending common season 14-17

Again in August, during an episode of the Eye On College Basketball Podcast focused on Louisville, I predicted the Cardinals would go 14-17 within the common season. Seems, I used to be too optimistic. So I would wish to have that prediction again, please. As a result of Yr 1 of the Kenny Payne period is an unmitigated catastrophe.

The Cardinals are actually 0-5 with losses at dwelling to Bellarmine, Wright State and Appalachian State. Extra not too long ago, they misplaced to Arkansas by 26 factors and to Texas Tech by 32 factors within the Maui Jim Maui Invitational. They’ve gone from 91st at KenPom to 154th at KenPom in a span of 14 days whereas additionally dropping DJ Wagner — the highest recruiting precedence and grandson of Louisville staffer Milt Wagner — to Kentucky.

Trustworthy query: Has a head-coaching profession at a high-profile college ever began this poorly?

Clearly, it is nonetheless early. Something is feasible, I suppose. However the reality is that Louisville will likely be fortunate to win 10 video games this season, and it feels cheap for followers of that proud program to begin asking massive questions in regards to the course of issues. If Payne can dramatically improve the roster upfront of subsequent season, maybe he’ll get this rotated. However the early returns, each on and off the court docket, are undeniably discouraging and have zapped all the enthusiasm that existed on the day he was employed. — Gary Parrish

We’re not even three weeks in, so I am really largely OK with all of my preseason prognostications. (That mentioned, come discover me in about two weeks and I assure you I will have some regrets.) But when there’s one the place I feel I am already unsuitable and possibly destined to remain unsuitable, it is rating Michigan State thirty second in my preseason Top 100 And 1 list of the very best groups in school hoops. Sparty is 3-1 with a one-point neutral-ship loss to Gonzaga, a neutral-court win over Kentucky and a home-court win over a shorthanded Villanova workforce. I will get an up-close look this weekend at MSU as I will be available for the PK85 occasion in Portland, Oregon. Tom Izzo scheduled arguably the hardest non-con slate within the nation this season, so extra losses are on the best way, however given the best way A.J. Hoggard, Mady Sissoko and Tyson Walker have improved, it is truthful now to say MSU needs to be thought-about as viable a Massive Ten contender as every other workforce in what might be the very best convention (at the very least 1 through 10) within the nation. — Matt Norlander

Kentucky to the Ultimate 4

I planted my flag on a lot of preseason takes that thus far have held up fairly well, I really feel, however my preseason infatuation with Kentucky wherein I predicted it will be a No. 1 seed and advance to the Ultimate 4 is the one I am least assured in just a few weeks into the season. Kentucky has the expertise to finally get to the primary Monday in April, little question, and I darn positive ain’t ditching my prediction there as a result of I nonetheless really feel like UK has as a lot potential as any workforce within the sport. However Oscar Tshiebwe’s nonetheless working his approach again from damage, the offense has at occasions seemed stagnant and, normally, it appears John Calipari continues to be toying with how all his new items will match. At 3-2 on the season, the beginning is not ideally suited, so possibly I would wish to have that prediction again. However the underlying metrics, Cal’s teaching and the expertise he is working with makes me assume I nonetheless have an opportunity to come back out trying like a genius on my preseason UK love in just a few months. — Kyle Boone

UCLA as nationwide champion

My decide for UCLA as nationwide champion did not appear all that far-fetched once I submitted it contemplating the Bruins’ mixture of returning and incoming expertise. However after watching UCLA wrestle to defend on the perimeter throughout an 0-2 run on the Predominant Occasion, it is obvious I missed a evident weak spot within the make-up of this UCLA workforce. First, Illinois wing Terrence Shannon torched UCLA for 29 factors on 8-of-9 capturing from 3-point vary within the Illini’s 79-70 win over the Bruins. Then, LJ Cryer and Adam Flagler mixed for 50 factors on 8-of-16 capturing from 3-point vary as Baylor beat UCLA 80-75.

Fourth-year UCLA coach Mick Cronin all the time has the Bruins enjoying their finest late within the season, however this workforce’s defensive limitations on the perimeter might be too nice a hurdle to beat relating to the Bruins’ championship aspirations. Tyger Campbell, Amari Bailey, Jaylen Clark and Dylan Andrews are every on the slender facet, and David Singleton is extra of a 3-point specialist than a two-way participant. 

Even past the nationwide title decide, if we recast our Pac-12 title ballots at present, Arizona would possible soar the Bruins for first place. The Wildcats have been spectacular to date, and it is easy to see hanging 80 or extra factors on this UCLA workforce this season except the Bruins present dramatic defensive enchancment. — David Cobb

require.config({"baseUrl":"https://sportsfly.cbsistatic.com/fly-0362/bundles/sportsmediajs/js-build","config":{"version":{"fly/components/accordion":"1.0","fly/components/alert":"1.0","fly/components/base":"1.0","fly/components/carousel":"1.0","fly/components/dropdown":"1.0","fly/components/fixate":"1.0","fly/components/form-validate":"1.0","fly/components/image-gallery":"1.0","fly/components/iframe-messenger":"1.0","fly/components/load-more":"1.0","fly/components/load-more-article":"1.0","fly/components/load-more-scroll":"1.0","fly/components/loading":"1.0","fly/components/modal":"1.0","fly/components/modal-iframe":"1.0","fly/components/network-bar":"1.0","fly/components/poll":"1.0","fly/components/search-player":"1.0","fly/components/social-button":"1.0","fly/components/social-counts":"1.0","fly/components/social-links":"1.0","fly/components/tabs":"1.0","fly/components/video":"1.0","fly/libs/easy-xdm":"2.4.17.1","fly/libs/jquery.cookie":"1.2","fly/libs/jquery.throttle-debounce":"1.1","fly/libs/jquery.widget":"1.9.2","fly/libs/omniture.s-code":"1.0","fly/utils/jquery-mobile-init":"1.0","fly/libs/jquery.mobile":"1.3.2","fly/libs/backbone":"1.0.0","fly/libs/underscore":"1.5.1","fly/libs/jquery.easing":"1.3","fly/managers/ad":"2.0","fly/managers/components":"1.0","fly/managers/cookie":"1.0","fly/managers/debug":"1.0","fly/managers/geo":"1.0","fly/managers/gpt":"4.3","fly/managers/history":"2.0","fly/managers/madison":"1.0","fly/managers/social-authentication":"1.0","fly/utils/data-prefix":"1.0","fly/utils/data-selector":"1.0","fly/utils/function-natives":"1.0","fly/utils/guid":"1.0","fly/utils/log":"1.0","fly/utils/object-helper":"1.0","fly/utils/string-helper":"1.0","fly/utils/string-vars":"1.0","fly/utils/url-helper":"1.0","libs/jshashtable":"2.1","libs/select2":"3.5.1","libs/jsonp":"2.4.0","libs/jquery/mobile":"1.4.5","libs/modernizr.custom":"2.6.2","libs/velocity":"1.2.2","libs/dataTables":"1.10.6","libs/dataTables.fixedColumns":"3.0.4","libs/dataTables.fixedHeader":"2.1.2","libs/dateformat":"1.0.3","libs/waypoints/infinite":"3.1.1","libs/waypoints/inview":"3.1.1","libs/waypoints/jquery.waypoints":"3.1.1","libs/waypoints/sticky":"3.1.1","libs/jquery/dotdotdot":"1.6.1","libs/jquery/flexslider":"2.1","libs/jquery/lazyload":"1.9.3","libs/jquery/maskedinput":"1.3.1","libs/jquery/marquee":"1.3.1","libs/jquery/numberformatter":"1.2.3","libs/jquery/placeholder":"0.2.4","libs/jquery/scrollbar":"0.1.6","libs/jquery/tablesorter":"2.0.5","libs/jquery/touchswipe":"1.6.18","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.core":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.draggable":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.mouse":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.position":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.slider":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.sortable":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.touch-punch":"0.2.3","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.autocomplete":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.accordion":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.tabs":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.menu":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.dialog":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.resizable":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.button":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.tooltip":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.effects":"1.11.4","libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.datepicker":"1.11.4"}},"shim":{"liveconnection/managers/connection":{"deps":["liveconnection/libs/sockjs-0.3.4"]},"liveconnection/libs/sockjs-0.3.4":{"exports":"SockJS"},"libs/setValueFromArray":{"exports":"set"},"libs/getValueFromArray":{"exports":"get"},"fly/libs/jquery.mobile-1.3.2":["version!fly/utils/jquery-mobile-init"],"libs/backbone.marionette":{"deps":["jquery","version!fly/libs/underscore","version!fly/libs/backbone"],"exports":"Marionette"},"fly/libs/underscore-1.5.1":{"exports":"_"},"fly/libs/backbone-1.0.0":{"deps":["version!fly/libs/underscore","jquery"],"exports":"Backbone"},"libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.tabs-1.11.4":["jquery","version!libs/jquery/ui/jquery.ui.core","version!fly/libs/jquery.widget"],"libs/jquery/flexslider-2.1":["jquery"],"libs/dataTables.fixedColumns-3.0.4":["jquery","version!libs/dataTables"],"libs/dataTables.fixedHeader-2.1.2":["jquery","version!libs/dataTables"],"https://sports.cbsimg.net/js/CBSi/app/VideoPlayer/AdobePass-min.js":["https://sports.cbsimg.net/js/CBSi/util/Utils-min.js"]},"map":{"*":{"adobe-pass":"https://sports.cbsimg.net/js/CBSi/app/VideoPlayer/AdobePass-min.js","facebook":"https://connect.facebook.net/en_US/sdk.js","facebook-debug":"https://connect.facebook.net/en_US/all/debug.js","google":"https://apis.google.com/js/plusone.js","google-platform":"https://apis.google.com/js/client:platform.js","google-csa":"https://www.google.com/adsense/search/async-ads.js","google-javascript-api":"https://www.google.com/jsapi","google-client-api":"https://apis.google.com/js/api:client.js","gpt":"https://securepubads.g.doubleclick.net/tag/js/gpt.js","hlsjs":"https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/hls.js/1.0.7/hls.js","recaptcha":"https://www.google.com/recaptcha/api.js?onload=loadRecaptcha&render=explicit","recaptcha_ajax":"https://www.google.com/recaptcha/api/js/recaptcha_ajax.js","supreme-golf":"https://sgapps-staging.supremegolf.com/search/assets/js/bundle.js","taboola":"https://cdn.taboola.com/libtrc/cbsinteractive-cbssports/loader.js","twitter":"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js","video-avia":"https://vidtech.cbsinteractive.com/avia-js/2.4.0/player/avia.min.js","video-avia-ui":"https://vidtech.cbsinteractive.com/avia-js/2.4.0/plugins/ui/avia.ui.min.js","video-avia-gam":"https://vidtech.cbsinteractive.com/avia-js/2.4.0/plugins/gam/avia.gam.min.js","video-avia-hls":"https://vidtech.cbsinteractive.com/avia-js/2.4.0/plugins/hls/avia.hls.min.js","video-avia-playlist":"https://vidtech.cbsinteractive.com/avia-js/2.4.0/plugins/playlist/avia.playlist.min.js","video-ima3":"https://imasdk.googleapis.com/js/sdkloader/ima3.js","video-ima3-dai":"https://imasdk.googleapis.com/js/sdkloader/ima3_dai.js","video-utils":"https://sports.cbsimg.net/js/CBSi/util/Utils-min.js","video-vast-tracking":"https://vidtech.cbsinteractive.com/sb55/vast-js/vtg-vast-client.js"}},"waitSeconds":300});



Source
#Dribble #Handoff #Preseason #school #basketball #predictions #dangerous #begin #season